Ukubuyekezwa Kochwepheshe kwe-Olymp Trade Ngenhlekelele Yezezimali Yomhlaba Wonke

2023-12-14 493 0

Kungenzeka yini ukusho ukuthi le nkinga yaqala ngokuzumayo? Cha ukuwohloka komnotho bekusemoyeni njengoba umnotho ubukhula ngesivinini isikhathi eside ngaphandle kokuhlehla isikhathi eside.

Inkinga ezayo manje futhi yayihlotshaniswa nokukhuphuka kwezinga le-Federal Reserve noma impi yezohwebo phakathi kweChina ne-United States. Kodwa izici eziyingozi zazincipha.

Ngo-2018, uDonald Trump wakwazi ukuphoqa i-Fed ukuthi iguqule izinhlelo zayo futhi ilahle umqondo wokuqinisa inqubomgomo yezimali. Izingxabano zohwebo phakathi kweBeijing neWashington zaphela ngokuthula.

Usongo olusha lwavela ngaphandle. Futhi uma singayicabangeli inkolelo-mbono yozungu lwe-COVID-19 mayelana nemvelaphi yokwenziwa ye-coronavirus kanye nokuqubuka kwayo okuhleliwe, lolu bhubhane lwadalula amanxeba alulama ohlelo lwezezimali lomhlaba wonke.

Akekho owaziyo ukuthi kuzokwenzekani ngokulandelayo. Kunezimo eziningi zokuthi isimo singathuthuka kanjani. Ngalesi sikhathi esinzima, umsebenzi wethu uwukuthola ulwazi olulungile futhi sisekele izinqumo zethu zokutshala izimali emaqinisweni kanye nemibono ecatshangelwayo.

Uma ufuna ukuqonda ukuthi kwenzekeni emnothweni nokuthi kungani wonke umuntu eqala ukukhuluma ngenkinga yezezimali, lesi sihloko sizofika kahle. Sinikeze ukulandelana kwezikhathi okufushane kokwenzekayo futhi saqoqa idatha efanele ezokusiza wenze ukukhetha okufanele.

Bhalisa Olymp Trade & Thola Mahhala $10,000Thola u-$10,000 Wamahhala kwabaqalayo

I-COVID-19. Izimo Ezintathu Nokuncane Kokuthemba

Cishe akekho owayengacabanga ukuthi ubhubhane lwe-COVID-19 coronavirus lungaholela ekuhlukanisweni kwabantu emhlabeni wonke, ukuvalwa kwemingcele kanye nokuvuleka kombuso “kwamabhange ezingulube”. Umhlaba unolwazi lokulwa nezinhlobo ezahlukene zomkhuhlane, i-SARS nezinye izifo eziyingozi ezinezinga eliphezulu lokufa, ngakho-ke impendulo yomhlaba ku-COVID-19 kade yaphuza kakhulu.

Kodwa-ke, ukuqashelwa kancane kancane kwengozi nezinyathelo zokuvalelwa kwaba yi-domino yokuqala ochungechungeni lwezinqubo ezingezinhle. Futhi kuze kube yilapho ubhubhane lunqotshwa ngokusemthethweni, umuntu akufanele abe nethemba lokusimama kwezomnotho nemakethe yamasheya.

Ngokuvamile, isimo singathuthuka ngokuya kwesinye sezimo ezilandelayo:

Kancane kancane, izinga lokufa lizokwehliswa libe amanani amancane. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, imikhawulo yokuvalelwa izoba buthaka. Kulokhu, ukusimama komnotho kungase kuthathe iminyaka.
Umuthi wokugoma osebenzayo uzokwenziwa. Kuze kube yileso sikhathi, amazwe azosebenzisa izinsiza ezinkulu ukuqukatha umthelela walolu bhubhane, kodwa uma umuthi wokugoma usutholakala, umnotho uzoqala ukukhula ngokushesha.
Ubhubhane luzophela, kepha kuzoba ne-COVID-19 entsha noma ukuqubuka kwayo kwezinguquko.

Iqiniso lokuthi ngokushesha noma kamuva, ubhubhane luzophela, lisinika ithemba. Eminyakeni engaphezudlwana nje kwekhulu edlule, umhlaba wahlaselwa umkhuhlane waseSpain, owabulala abantu abaphakathi kwezigidi ezingu-25 neziyikhulu. Sekukonke, cishe amaphesenti angama-30 abantu bomhlaba abathintekile. Odokotela bathi i-coronavirus yesimanje ayinabungozi kangako.

Isimo Esibi Kakhulu Kusukela NgeMpi Yezwe Yesibili

Ephawula ngesimo se-COVID-19, uMqondisi Ophethe we-International Monetary Fund, uKristalina Georgieva, uthe okulandelayo: "Silindele ukuwa komnotho okubi kakhulu selokhu kwaba Nokucindezeleka Okukhulu".

Ohulumeni, amabhange amakhulu kanye nabezentengiselwano manje sebezama ukubala umthamo wokuwohloka komnotho abazobhekana nakho kulo nyaka. Ngokwezilinganiso zokuqala, i-US GDP ingase yehle ngengxenye eyodwa kwezintathu kule kota.

Abahlaziyi bebhange laseSwitzerland i-Credit Suisse babhale lokhu okulandelayo: “Umnotho wase-US uzokwehla ngo-33.5%. Lokhu kusho ukuthi isikhathi esisuka ku-Ephreli 1 kuya kuJuni 30 sizoba yikota embi kakhulu emlandweni kusukela ngo-1945”.

Ochwepheshe baseBank of America, ababephakathi kwabokuqala ukusho ukuthi i-US yawela phansi, babikezela ukwehla kwe-GDP ngo-12%.

Uma siqhathanisa isimo samanje nenkinga yezezimali ka-2008, singaphetha ngokuthi inkinga yamanje izoba nzima kakhulu. Uma kuqhathaniswa: engxenyeni yesine yowezi-2008, ukwehla kwe-GDP kwakunqunyelwe ku-6.3%. Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ukuwa kwenkomba ye-SP 500 phakathi nalesi sikhathi kwakucishe kube ngama-30%.

Ngamanye amazwi, ukulungiswa kwakamuva okungama-35% kwemakethe yamasheya yase-US nokukhuphuka kwaphezulu okwalandela bekuyisiginali yokuqala. Mhlawumbe ngenxa yalesi sizathu, igolide belidingeka kakhulu kusukela ekuqaleni konyaka. Ngo-Ephreli, inani lensimbi eyigugu laphula irekhodi leminyaka eyisikhombisa edlule.

Kodwa kungaba kubi kakhulu kuwo womabili amazwe omhlaba kulawo mazwe umnotho wawo uxhumene kakhulu nokuthunyelwa kukawoyela emazweni angaphandle.

Amafutha: I-Demarche yaseRussia kanye nenkokhelo ye-Saudi Arabia

Amazwe ahweba ngegolide elimnyama aqinise izinyathelo zokubhekana nebhalansi yokuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo ngo-2016, lapho ababambiqhaza ababalulekile emakethe kawoyela bephetha okuthiwa yisivumelwano se-OPEC+ - isivumelwano sokunciphisa ukukhiqizwa kukawoyela isikhathi esilinganiselwe.

Nokho, ngemva kokunwetshwa kwezinkontileka eziningana, kwaba nobunye ubumbano olunciphayo phakathi kwezinhlangothi. Imakethe ayizange inake izitatimende zabadayisi abancane, njenge-Ecuador. Kodwa-ke, ukwenqaba kweRussia ukugunyaza ukwehliswa okwengeziwe komthamo wemikhiqizo engcolile kwasho ukuphela kwesivumelwano se-OPEC+.

NgoMashi 6, izinhlangothi zehlulekile ukuvumelana ngokunye ukunqunywa. I-Russia, i-Kazakhstan ne-Azerbaijan yenqaba ukusekela ukuncishiswa kwe-quotas, lapho i-Saudi Arabia iphendule khona ngobuqili owaziwayo kusukela kuma-80s - yanciphisa amanani kawoyela futhi yamemezela ukwanda kwamazinga okukhiqiza. Ngo-April 1, igolide elimnyama lase lehle inani ngaphezu kwengxenye: I-Brent yehla isuka ku-$50 yaya ku-$23 umphongolo ngamunye, i-WTI yehla isuka ku-$46 yaya ku-$20.

UMengameli waseMelika uDonald Trump ungenelele odabeni lukawoyela ngokuhlanganisa izikhulu eziphezulu zaseRussia naseSaudi Arabia ukuze ziqale kabusha inkhulumomphendvulwano. Ngendlela, iminyango ekhethekile yase-US ivumele ithuba lokubeka unswinyo ngokumelene neRussia neSaudi Arabia, uma la mazwe engakutholi ukuyekethisa.

Kepha ngenkathi abakwa-oilmen bexoxisana, umhlaba wonke wayeka ukuphika ubucayi bobhubhane lwe-COVID-19 futhi waqala ukuthatha izinyathelo ezinqala. Ukwehla komsebenzi webhizinisi, ukwehla kokuthengiswa kanye nokuphazamiseka kokugeleza kokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe nokungenisa kwamanye amazwe kuholele ekwehleni kokusetshenziswa kukawoyela, kodwa ukukhiqizwa akumile.

Imakethe Iyadingeka Ukuze "Igazi"

Abatshalizimali behlise umoya isikhashana ngemuva kokuthi abahlanganyeli be-OPEC+ bevumile ukunciphisa ukukhiqizwa ngemiphongolo ecishe ibe yizigidi eziyi-10 ngosuku. Kodwa-ke, ukukhula kweqoqo lezimpahla kuholele enguqulweni entsha yokudayiswa.

Okungenani imiphongolo eyengeziwe eyizigidi eziyi-13 yayirekhodwa masonto onke, ngakho abahwebi basheshe baqala ukukhuluma ngokuqeda umthamo wokugcina.

Imakethe yayinesidingo esiphuthumayo sokukhishwa, ngoba ukungezwani kwakuphezulu ngempela. Kuholele ekuweni okumangalisayo kwekusasa elingahluziwe le-WTI. Inkontileka yokulethwa kukaMeyi ibingashibhile nje. Ngokokuqala ngqa, intengo kawoyela yavalwa endaweni engeyinhle futhi yafinyelela ku-$40 umphongolo ngamunye!

Yiqiniso, imininingwane yalolu hlobo lwezinsimbi idlale indima yayo - ikusasa linesikhathi esilinganiselwe sokujikeleza, futhi abathengisi baqala ukuqeda lezi zinkontileka ngaphambi kokuphelelwa yisikhathi (akekho odinga ukulethwa kwangempela kwamafutha).

Kodwa uma singangeni sijule ekujuleni kobuqili bezinkontileka zokushintshana, singaphetha ngokuthi manje uwoyela awukwazi ukubiza u-$100 noma u-$50. Lokhu kubonakala ngobuningi bempahla esetshenziswayo ezindaweni zokugcina, ukwehla kwesidingo sazo, kanye nokuwohloka komnotho emhlabeni jikelele.

Amanani aphansi egolide elimnyama azothinta ngokuyinhloko amazwe anesabelomali esixhumene kakhulu nemali engenayo evela kuwoyela othunyelwa ngaphandle - isibonelo, izifundazwe zaseMpumalanga Ephakathi, iMexico, iNorway neRussia.

Ngokuvamile, bangasinda kalula esimweni esinjalo ngenxa yemithombo enqwabelene. Kepha inkinga yezomnotho edalwe wubhubhane lwe-COVID-19 idinga ukusetshenziswa kwemali okwengeziwe.

Ingabe Imboni Kawoyela Izobonisa Amandla Ahle?

Sithole ukuphawula ngalolu daba kuchwepheshe ozimele ovela emkhakheni wezamandla:

“Uma i-Saudi Arabia, i-US neRussia zingasheshi ukuvuma isivumelwano sokunciphisa ukukhiqizwa, amanani azokwehla kakhulu esimweni esikhona manje sokufunwa.

Okuwukuphela kwendlela engeyona inhlekelele yokunyusa intengo ukukhulisa umsebenzi wezomnotho e-China nase-US. Uma kunjalo, uma ukusetshenziswa kuqala ukudlula ukukhiqizwa, sizobona ukwanda kancane kancane kwamakhotheshini. Nokho, ngokusekelwe ezimweni zomnotho zomhlaba, lokhu mancane kakhulu amathuba okuba kwenzeke.

Esikhathini esedlule, izimakethe bezivame 'ukukhululwa' ekunikezeni ngokweqile emakethe ngokuqubuka kwezingxabano ezweni elilodwa noma amaningi athumela uwoyela. Ngokwesibonelo, izingxabano zaseLibya, e-Iraq, naseVenezuela emashumini ambalwa eminyaka adlule ziye zaholela ekwenyukeni kwentengo kawoyela.

Abahwebi abahle bazobe bebheke izifunda ezikhiqiza uwoyela ngokukhuphuka okungazelelwe 'kwemisebenzi yezempi', ngokushesha nje lapho izindaba zezingxabano, kanye nokwehliswa kwempahla evela kulezi zifunda, kuzosiza ukusekela amanani kawoyela.

Ngaphandle kwanoma yikuphi ukungqubuzana okuphawulekayo noma ukuncishiswa kokukhiqizwa okwedlulele, amanani kawoyela azokwehla noma alinganisele emazingeni aphansi ekupheleni kwalo nyaka. Sekuzofika u-2021 kuphela lapho umnotho womhlaba uzoba nethuba lokuthuthuka ngemuva kobhubhane lwe-COVID-19 (inqobo nje uma ubhubhane seluphelile ngaleso sikhathi).

Abakhiqizi abakhulu kulindeleke ukuthi baqale ukusebenzisa imigomo emisha yesivumelwano se-OPEC+ ngoMeyi. Izinyathelo ezengeziwe zokunciphisa umthamo wokukhiqiza nazo azishiywa ngaphandle. Isibonelo, umongameli waseMexico uthembise ukucabangela ukuvala yonke imithombo emisha.

Enye indlela engenzeka yokuphuma kulesi simo kuzoba ukuvela komfelandawonye omusha kawoyela phakathi kwe-US neSaudi Arabia. Kuyaziwa ukuthi izikhulu zaseMelika sezivele zisebenzela ukuqaliswa kwalo mbono, kepha njengamanje, okuseqhulwini eWashington ukubhekana nalolu bhubhane futhi okungenani kususwe imingcele yokuvalelwa yedwa.

I-Apocalypse Yezezimali: Yebo noma Cha?

Njengoba kushiwo ngenhla, abatshalizimali bebelokhu bezwa ukuqala kokulungiswa komhlaba isikhathi eside. Njengempahla ephephile yendabuko, igolide laqala ukukhula ehlobo lika-2019 futhi lengeze ngaphezu kwama-20%.

Kodwa-ke, akuwona wonke umuntu ovumayo ukuthi i-apocalypse yezezimali izofika maduze. Sikhulume nomhwebi ozoshoda ngegolide le-CFD esebenzisa i-multiplier.

Ukuhlaziya kwakhe kusekelwe ku-Elliot Wave Theory. Ngamafuphi, uma usebenzisa le ndlela, abathengisi babheka ishadi njengeqoqo lamagagasi, bese behlukanisa futhi bathole impendulo yombuzo oyinhloko "Intengo izoya kuphi?"

Inzuzo yale ndlela ukuzimela kwayo okuphelele ekuhlaziyweni okuyisisekelo. Isitatimende sokuthi amathrendi anesakhiwo esifana negagasi sithathwa njenge-axiom. Futhi zonke izinhlanganisela sezivele zenzekile ngaphambili. Njengoba bekunezici eziningi zezindaba, besifuna ukuthola umbono walabo bahwebi abangazilandeli.

Encwadini:

“Igolide lisabela ngentshiseko kulokho okwenzeka emhlabeni. Isimiso segagasi (B) sezinga eliphezulu sigcwalisekile. Mhlawumbe kuzoba nokwehla okukhulu ku-$900 iwunsi ngayinye njengengxenye yegagasi (C) “.

Ukubuyekezwa Kochwepheshe kwe-Olymp Trade Ngenhlekelele Yezezimali Yomhlaba Wonke

Umjaho Wokusinda Nokusabalalisa Kwezigidigidi

Njenganoma iyiphi inkinga, isiyaluyalu samanje sizobulala othile. Isibonelo, i-Argentina ngeke isakwazi ukuvumelana ngokuhlelwa kabusha kwezikweletu nababolekisi bayo abakhulu. Ikakhulukazi, laba yizwe lokuqala elafadalala.

Ngakolunye uhlangothi, iChina, eyazuza inzuzo yesikhashana njengoba icishe yalulama ngokugcwele kulolu bhubhane. Iziphathimandla zaseShayina zigqugquzela amabhizinisi ukuthi asekele imakethe yezemisebenzi, kodwa ngesikhathi esifanayo, izikhulu zaseShayina ziphawula ukuthi kukhona ukwehla kwempahla ethunyelwa ngaphandle - amanye amazwe aseqalile ukuthenga okuncane kakhulu.

Izinhlobonhlobo zemiphumela engaba khona yesikhathi samanje ziyethusa. Akekho ongaba nesiqiniseko sokuthi izinhlelo zokuvuselela kabusha ezakhiwe ohulumeni zizosiza ukunqoba ukwehla komnotho.

Noma kunjalo, izinyathelo zokuvuselela amarekhodi ezephula irekhodi zase-US ezingaphezu kuka-$6 trillion ziyethusa. Iphakethe lokuhlenga elingama-dollar ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezimbili lizosetshenziselwa izinkokhelo eziqondile kuzo zonke izakhamizi zezwe, futhi ama- $ 4 trillion azofika njengemali mboleko ethambile yokuxhasa ibhizinisi. Ngenxa yezinyathelo ezisheshayo, idola laseMelika alizange liguquke futhi manje selisebenza njengohlobo lwemali oluphephile.

Uhulumeni waseJapan futhi uxoxa ngephakethe losizo olukhulu. Iphakethe lokuvuselela elibiza u-$1.1 trillion lizosatshalaliswa ukusekela amabhizinisi nezakhamizi. UNdunankulu uShinzo Abe ukholelwa ukuthi lezi zinyathelo zizoholela ekukhuleni kwe-GDP engaphezu kuka-3%.

Iziphathimandla ze-EU zilandela indlela efanayo: zihlose ukujova isigamu sesigidi sezigidi zama-euro emnothweni we-EU. Ngaphezu kwalokho, kunengxoxo eshisayo phakathi kwabaholi bamazwe e-euro zone mayelana nodaba lwama-"coronabonds". Lawo ma-eurobond angasiza amazwe ase-Europe ashayeke kakhulu ukuthi alulame.

Okufanele Umhwebi Akubheke

Amazwe esigaba sesibili anesandla esiphansi ngezinxephezelo. Ngokwesiko, bazwela kakhulu enhlekeleleni ngenxa yezinhlelo ezingasebenzi kahle kanye nokuntuleka kokuhlukahluka komnotho. Lezi zifunda zincike kakhulu ekuhwebeni komhlaba wonke, kodwa zingakhombisa izinga eliphezulu lokukhula.

Uma ufuna ngempela ukusizakala ngegagasi lokukhula elizayo, naka amazwe asathuthuka njengeBrazil. Ungenza ukutshalwa kwezimali kwesikhathi eside ku-ETF MSCI Brazil 3x. Le phothifoliyo ihlanganisa izinkampani ezihamba phambili zaseBrazil.

Ungaphinda ukhethe amasheya ezinkampani ezinkulu zase-US ezibonisa izici ze-monopolist, njenge-Facebook ne-Google. Zombili lezi zinkampani ziyizinkundla ezinkulu zokukhangisa, futhi lezi zinkampani azisabi ukutshala imali ekuthuthukisweni ngisho nangezikhathi zobunzima.

I-Google ikhiqiza ama-smartphones futhi ithuthukisa ubuchwepheshe bewebhu. I-Facebook iyazizama indima yethuluzi lokukhokha futhi inethemba lokuphinda impumelelo ye-Chinese WeChat. Ngokungafani nohulumeni, izinkampani ze-IT zizazi kahle izidingo zemakethe futhi zihamba phambili ngokuhamba kwazo. Leli phethini livame ukuletha inzuzo kubatshalizimali.

I-Bitcoin njengendawo ephephile yoMtshali-zimali

Ngekota yokuqala ka-2020, i-bitcoin ikwazile ukukubona kokubili ukukhula kuya ku-$10000 kanye nokuwa kwafinyelela ku-$4000. Abezindaba bathi le mpahla ilandela amandla emakethe yamasheya.

Kodwa-ke, njengoba isimo somnotho wezwe siwohloka, i-cryptocurrency yembula isici esingahlobene nayo - ukulangazelela ukuzinza. Lokhu kungaqinisekiswa ngokubuyela kwayo ezingeni le-$ 7000, lapho uhlamvu lwemali lwaluhweba ekuqaleni konyaka.

Futhi enye into eshaqisayo ngempela ukukhula kwevolumu yokuhweba ye-bitcoin ekuhwebeni. Nsuku zonke irekhoda ukuhweba okungabiza ama-dollar ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-30, kuyilapho ku-Q4 bekulinganiselwa ku-$20 billion. Okusho ukuthi, isidingo semakethe siyakhula.

Asazi noma intengo yayo izokwenyuka, kodwa ifulethi lihlala liba umkhuba. Umsebenzi wethu ukuthatha uhlangothi olulungile. Futhi uma sicabangela ukuthi i-bitcoin ayilawulwa yinoma yiliphi izwe, ayikho ngaphansi kwe-inflation futhi ilinganiselwe ekukhishweni, inawo wonke amathuba okuba indawo eyinhloko ephephile kubatshalizimali.

Nomaphi lapho inhlekelele iphenduka khona, khumbula - izici ezichazwe kulesi sihloko ziyisihluthulelo sokuqonda okwenzekayo. Izimakethe zizolulama, izinto zizobuyela esimeni esijwayelekile kubantu, kodwa kuze kube yileso sikhathi sizobona imibuthano yamasheya, izitayela eziqinile ze-bullish, ukuwa kanye nokuqothuka. Yilokhu esizobe sibhekene nakho nokwenza imali ngakho.

Bhalisa Olymp Trade & Thola Mahhala $10,000Thola u-$10,000 Wamahhala kwabaqalayo