Impuguke za Olymp Trade ku kibazo cy’amafaranga ku isi

14/12/2023 493 0

Birashoboka kuvuga ko ikibazo cyatangiye gitunguranye? Oya. Ihungabana ryabaye mu kirere ubukungu bukimara kwiyongera vuba igihe kirekire nta gusubira inyuma.

Ikibazo kiri hafi yajyanye no kongera igipimo cya Banki nkuru y’igihugu cyangwa intambara y’ubucuruzi hagati y’Ubushinwa na Amerika. Ariko ibintu bishobora guteza ingaruka byagabanutse.

Muri 2018, Donald Trump yashoboye guhatira Federasiyo guhindura gahunda zayo no kureka igitekerezo cyo gukaza politiki y'ifaranga. Amakimbirane y’ubucuruzi hagati ya Beijing na Washington yarangiye mu buryo butunguranye.

Iterabwoba rishya ryavuye mu bururu. Niba kandi tutirengagije igitekerezo cya COVID-19 cy’ubugambanyi ku nkomoko y’ubukorikori ya coronavirus n’uko iteganijwe gutangira, icyorezo cyagaragaje ibikomere bidakize bya sisitemu y’imari ku isi.

Ntawe uzi ibizakurikiraho. Hano haribintu byinshi byerekana uko ibintu bishobora gutera imbere. Muri iki gihe kitoroshye, inshingano zacu ni ukubona amakuru yukuri no gushingira ibyemezo byishoramari kubintu bifatika.

Niba ushaka kumva ibyabaye mubukungu n'impamvu abantu bose batangiye kuvuga ikibazo cyubukungu, iyi ngingo izaza ikenewe. Twatanze ibihe bigufi byerekana uko bigenda kandi dukusanya amakuru ajyanye nayo azagufasha guhitamo neza.

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COVID-19. Ibihe bitatu hamwe na Optimism

Nkanswe umuntu wese yatekereza ko icyorezo cya COVID-19 coronavirus cyatera akato kwisi yose, gufunga imipaka ndetse no gufungura leta "banki yingurube". Isi ifite uburambe bwo kurwanya ibicurane bitandukanye, SARS nizindi ndwara ziterwa n’impfu nyinshi, bityo isi ikitabira COVID-19 yatinze cyane.

Ariko, kumenya buhoro buhoro akaga ningamba za karantine nibyo domino yambere murwego rwinzira mbi. Kandi kugeza icyorezo cyatsinzwe kumugaragaro, umuntu ntagomba kwizera ko ubukungu n’imigabane bizamuka.

Muri rusange, ibintu birashobora gutera imbere ukurikije kimwe mubintu bikurikira:

Buhoro buhoro, igipimo cy'imfu kizagabanuka kugeza ku giciro gito. Muri icyo gihe, gukumira akato bizacika intege. Muri iki gihe, kuzamuka kwubukungu bishobora gufata imyaka.
Urukingo rwiza ruzashyirwaho. Kugeza icyo gihe, ibihugu bizakoresha umutungo munini kugira ngo birinde ingaruka z'icyorezo, ariko urukingo rumaze kuboneka, ubukungu buzatangira kwiyongera vuba.
Icyorezo kizaba impfabusa, ariko hazabaho COVID-19 cyangwa icyorezo cya mutation.

Kuba bitinde bitebuke, icyorezo kizarangira, biduha icyizere. Hashize imyaka irenga ijana ishize, isi yarwaye ibicurane byo muri Esipanye, byahitanye abantu bari hagati ya miliyoni 25 na miliyoni 100. Muri rusange, 30% by'abatuye isi bagize ingaruka. Abaganga bavuga ko coronavirus igezweho ari mbi cyane.

Ibintu bibi cyane kuva Intambara ya Kabiri y'Isi Yose

Umuyobozi w'ikigega mpuzamahanga cy'imari, Kristalina Georgieva yagize icyo avuga ku kibazo cya COVID-19, yagize ati: "Turateganya ko ubukungu bwifashe nabi cyane kuva ubukungu bwifashe nabi".

Guverinoma, banki nkuru n’ubucuruzi ubu ziragerageza kubara ingano y’ubukungu bwifashe nabi muri uyu mwaka. Dukurikije ibigereranyo bibanza, GDP muri Amerika irashobora kugabanukaho kimwe cya gatatu muri iki gihembwe.

Abasesenguzi ba banki yo mu Busuwisi Credit Suisse banditse ibi bikurikira: “Ubukungu bw’Amerika buzagabanuka 33.5%. Ibi bivuze ko igihe cyo kuva ku ya 1 Mata kugeza ku ya 30 Kamena kiri gutegurwa kuba igihembwe kibi cyane ku mateka asubira mu 1945 ”.

Impuguke za Banki ya Amerika, zari mu ba mbere batinyutse kuvuga ko Amerika yaguye mu bukungu, bavuga ko GDP izagabanuka 12%.

Niba tugereranije uko ibintu bimeze muri iki gihe n’ikibazo cy’amafaranga yo mu 2008, dushobora kwemeza ko ikibazo kiriho kizaba gikomeye cyane. Kugereranya: mu gihembwe cya kane 2008, igabanuka rya GDP ryagarukiye kuri 6.3%. Muri icyo gihe, kugabanuka kwa SP 500 muri iki gihe byari hafi 30%.

Mu yandi magambo, ubugororangingo bwa 35% buherutse gukosorwa ku isoko ryimigabane muri Amerika hamwe no kuzamuka hejuru kwari ikimenyetso cya mbere. Birashoboka kubwiyi mpamvu, zahabu isabwa cyane kuva umwaka watangira. Muri Mata, agaciro k'icyuma cyagaciro cyarangije amateka yimyaka irindwi ishize.

Ariko byaba bibi cyane kwisi byombi kubihugu bifite ubukungu bifitanye isano rya bugufi n’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga.

Amavuta: Demarche y'Uburusiya no Kwishura na Arabiya Sawudite

Ibihugu byirabura byohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga byongereye ingufu mu guhangana n’ibisabwa n’ibisabwa mu 2016, ubwo abakinnyi bakomeye ku isoko rya peteroli basinyaga amasezerano yiswe amasezerano ya OPEC + - amasezerano yo kugabanya umusaruro wa peteroli mu gihe gito.

Ariko, nyuma yo kongera amasezerano menshi, habaye ubumwe buke kandi buke mubaburanyi. Isoko ntabwo ryitaye ku magambo yavuzwe mu mahanga yohereza ibicuruzwa hanze, nka uquateur. Icyakora, Uburusiya bwanze kwemeza ko hagabanywa kongera ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga bivuze ko amasezerano ya OPEC + yarangiye.

Ku ya 6 Werurwe, ababuranyi bananiwe kwemera ikindi cyemezo. Uburusiya, Qazaqistan na Azaribayijan banze gushyigikira igabanywa ry’imigabane, Arabiya Sawudite yashubije amayeri azwi kuva mu myaka ya za 80 - yagabanije ibiciro bya peteroli kandi itangaza ko izamuka ry’ibicuruzwa ryiyongera. Kugeza ku ya 1 Mata, zahabu y'umukara yari yagabanutse ku giciro kirenga kimwe cya kabiri: Brent yavuye ku madolari 50 igera kuri $ 23 kuri buri barrale, WTI yagabanutse kuva $ 46 igera kuri 20.

Perezida wa Leta zunze ubumwe za Amerika, Donald Trump yagize uruhare mu ihagarikwa rya peteroli ahuza abayobozi bakuru b'Uburusiya na Arabiya Sawudite kugira ngo bakomeze ibiganiro. Nkuko byavuzwe, amashami yihariye y’Amerika yemeye ko hashobora gufatirwa ibihano Uburusiya na Arabiya Sawudite, niba ibyo bihugu bitabonye ubwumvikane.

Ariko mugihe abanyamavuta baganiraga, isi yose yaretse guhakana uburemere bwicyorezo cya COVID-19 itangira gufata ingamba zikomeye. Kugabanuka kw'ibikorwa by'ubucuruzi, kugabanuka kw'igurisha no guhungabanya ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga n'ibitumizwa mu mahanga byatumye igabanuka ry'ikoreshwa rya peteroli, ariko umusaruro ntiwahagaze.

Isoko rikeneye "Kuvangwa Amaraso"

Abashoramari batuje mu gihe gito nyuma yuko abitabiriye OPEC + bemeye kugabanya umusaruro hafi ya barriyoni miliyoni 10 ku munsi. Ariko, kwiyongera kubarura byatumye habaho umurongo mushya wo kugurisha.

Nibura miliyoni 13 ziyongereyeho buri barrale yandikwaga buri cyumweru, nuko abadandaza bahita batangira kuvuga kubushobozi bwo kubika.

Isoko ryari rikeneye byihutirwa gusohoka, kuko impagarara zari nyinshi. Byatumye habaho gusenyuka bidasanzwe muri WTI ejo hazaza. Amasezerano yo gutanga Gicurasi ntabwo yari ahendutse gusa. Bwa mbere, igiciro cya peteroli cyafunze muri zone mbi kandi kigera - $ 40 kuri barrale!

Birumvikana ko umwihariko wubu bwoko bwibikoresho wagize uruhare - igihe kizaza gifite igihe ntarengwa cyo kuzenguruka, kandi abacuruzi batangiye gukuraho ayo masezerano mbere yuko arangira (ntamuntu ukeneye gutanga amavuta nyayo).

Ariko niba tutinjiye mubwiza bwamasezerano yo kuvunja, dushobora kwemeza ko ubu peteroli idashobora kugura amadorari 100 cyangwa 50. Ibi bigaragarira mububiko burenze bwibikoresho fatizo mububiko, kugabanuka kubisabwa, hamwe nubukungu bwifashe nabi kwisi.

Ibiciro biri hasi ya zahabu yumukara bizagira ingaruka cyane cyane mubihugu bifite ingengo y’imari ifitanye isano cyane n’amafaranga ava mu mahanga - urugero, ibihugu byo mu burasirazuba bwo hagati, Mexico, Noruveje n'Uburusiya.

Mubisanzwe, barashobora kurokoka byoroshye ibihe nkibi babikesha ububiko. Ariko ikibazo cyubukungu cyatewe nicyorezo cya COVID-19 gisaba amafaranga menshi.

Inganda za peteroli zizerekana imbaraga nziza?

Twabonye ibisobanuro kuri iki kibazo n’impuguke yigenga yaturutse mu nzego z’ingufu:

“Niba Arabiya Sawudite, Amerika n'Uburusiya bidahita byihutira amasezerano yo kugabanya umusaruro, ibiciro bizagabanuka cyane mu bihe bikenewe muri iki gihe.

Inzira yonyine idahwitse yo kuzamura igiciro ni ukongera ibikorwa byubukungu haba mubushinwa ndetse no muri Amerika. Muricyo gihe, niba ibicuruzwa bitangiye kurenza umusaruro, tuzabona kwiyongera gahoro gahoro. Ariko, ukurikije uko ubukungu bwifashe ku isi, ibi ntibishoboka ko bibaho.

Mu bihe byashize, amasoko yakunze 'gutabarwa' ku isoko ryinshi ku isoko kubera ko habaye imirwano mu bihugu bimwe cyangwa byinshi byohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga. Kurugero, amakimbirane muri Libiya, Iraki, na Venezuwela mu myaka mike ishize yatumye ibiciro bya peteroli bizamuka.

Abacuruzi beza bazareba uturere dukora peteroli kugirango izamuka ritunguranye ry 'ibikorwa bya gisirikare', mugihe amakuru yamakimbirane, ndetse n’ibicuruzwa biturutse muri utwo turere, bizafasha gushyigikira ibiciro bya peteroli.

Hatabayeho amakimbirane akomeye cyangwa igabanuka ry'umusaruro ukabije, ibiciro bya peteroli bizagabanuka cyangwa bingane kurwego rwo hasi mu mpera zuyu mwaka. Gusa nko mu 2021 ni bwo ubukungu bw'isi buzagira amahirwe yo kwiyongera nyuma y'icyorezo cya COVID-19 (hashingiwe ko icyorezo cyarangiye icyo gihe). ”

Biteganijwe ko abaproducer bakomeye bazatangira gushyira mubikorwa amasezerano mashya yamasezerano ya OPEC + muri Gicurasi. Ingamba zinyongera zo kugabanya umusaruro mwinshi nazo ntizihari. Urugero, perezida wa Mexico yasezeranyije gutekereza kuziba amariba yose mashya.

Ubundi buryo bushoboka bwo kwikuramo ibibazo ni ukuvuka ubumwe bushya bwa peteroli hagati ya Amerika na Arabiya Sawudite. Birazwi ko abayobozi ba Leta zunze ubumwe za Amerika basanzwe bakora ibishoboka ngo ishyirwa mu bikorwa ry'iki gitekerezo, ariko kugeza ubu, Washington icyo ishyira imbere ni uguhashya iki cyorezo ndetse no gukuraho igice cyo gukumira akato.

Imari ya Apocalypse: Yego cyangwa Oya?

Nkuko byavuzwe haruguru, abashoramari bumvise igihe cyo gutangira gukosorwa kwisi kuva kera. Kuba umutungo gakondo ufite umutekano, zahabu yatangiye gukura mu mpeshyi ya 2019 kandi yiyongereyeho 20%.

Ariko, ntabwo abantu bose bemera ko apocalypse yimari izaza vuba. Twaganiriye numucuruzi ugiye kujya kuri zahabu CFD dukoresheje kugwiza.

Isesengura rye rishingiye kuri Elliot Wave Theory. Muri make, iyo ukoresheje ubu buryo, abacuruzi bafata imbonerahamwe nkurunani rwinshi, hanyuma bakayishyira mubice hanyuma bakabona igisubizo cyikibazo nyamukuru “Igiciro kizajya he?”

Ibyiza byubu buryo nubwigenge bwuzuye buturutse kubisesengura ryibanze. Amagambo yerekana ko afite imiterere-nkimiterere ifatwa nka axiom. Kandi guhuza byose bimaze kuba mbere. Kubera ko hari amakuru menshi cyane, twashakaga kubona igitekerezo cyabacuruzi batabakurikiza.

Duhereye ku nzandiko:

“Zahabu yitabira ashishikaye ibibera ku isi. Umuhengeri (B) wo murwego rwo hejuru uruzuzwa. Ahari hazabaho kugabanuka gukabije kugera kuri $ 900 kuri buri une mugice cyumuraba (C) “.

Impuguke za Olymp Trade ku kibazo cy’amafaranga ku isi

Irushanwa ryo Kurokoka no Gukwirakwiza Trillioni

Kimwe nikibazo icyo ari cyo cyose, imvururu ziriho zizica umuntu. Kurugero, Arijantine ntishobora kongera kwemeranya kuvugurura imyenda hamwe nababerewemo imyenda ikomeye. Muri rusange, cyabaye igihugu cya mbere cyahombye.

Ku rundi ruhande, Ubushinwa bwabonye inyungu z'agateganyo kuko bwakize neza muri iki cyorezo. Abategetsi b'Abashinwa bashishikariza cyane ubucuruzi gushyigikira isoko ry'umurimo, ariko muri icyo gihe, abayobozi b'Abashinwa bavuga ko igabanuka ry'ibyoherezwa mu mahanga - ibindi bihugu byatangiye kugura bike cyane.

Ingaruka zitandukanye zishoboka zigihe cyubu zirateye ubwoba. Ntawe ushobora kwemeza ko gahunda zo gukira zateguwe na guverinoma zizafasha gutsinda ubukungu.

Nubwo bimeze bityo ariko, ingamba zo gutera akabariro muri Amerika zingana na miliyoni 6 z'amadolari y'Amerika ziratangaje. Iyi gahunda yo gutabara miliyoni 2 z'amadolari y'Amerika izakoreshwa mu kwishyura mu buryo butaziguye abaturage bose b'igihugu, naho tiriyari 4 z'amadolari azaza mu buryo bw'inguzanyo zoroheje zo gushyigikira ubucuruzi. Bitewe n’ingamba zihuse, amadolari y’Amerika ntiyigeze ahindagurika kandi ubu ni nk'ifaranga ryizewe.

Guverinoma y’Ubuyapani nayo irimo kuganira ku nkunga ikomeye y’imfashanyo. Gahunda yo gukangura ifite agaciro ka miriyoni 1,1 z'amadorali azoherezwa mu gutera inkunga imishinga n'abaturage. Minisitiri w’intebe Shinzo Abe yizera ko izi ntambwe zizatuma GDP yiyongera hejuru ya 3%.

Abategetsi b’Umuryango w’ubumwe bw’ibihugu by’Uburayi bakurikira inzira imwe: barashaka kwinjiza igice cya tiriyari euro mu bukungu bw’Uburayi. Byongeye kandi, hari ibiganiro bishyushye hagati y'abayobozi b'ibihugu by'akarere ka euro ku kibazo cya “coronabonds”. Izo eurobonds zirashobora gufasha ibihugu byiburayi byibasiwe cyane gukira.

Icyo Umucuruzi agomba gushakisha

Ibihugu byo mucyiciro cya kabiri ntabwo bitanga cyane hamwe nogushigikira. Ubusanzwe, bumva neza ikibazo kubera sisitemu idahwitse no kubura ubukungu butandukanye. Utu turere dushingiye cyane ku bucuruzi ku isi, ariko burashobora kwerekana umuvuduko mwinshi.

Niba rwose ushaka kubyaza umusaruro iterambere ryigihe kizaza, witondere ibihugu biri mu nzira y'amajyambere nka Berezile. Urashobora gushora igihe kirekire muri ETF MSCI Burezili 3x. Iyi portfolio ikubiyemo amasosiyete akomeye ya Berezile.

Urashobora kandi guhitamo imigabane yamasosiyete akomeye yo muri Amerika yerekana ibiranga monopoliste, nka Facebook na Google. Ibigo byombi ni urubuga runini rwo kwamamaza, kandi ayo masosiyete ntatinya gushora imari mu iterambere ndetse no mu bihe bikomeye.

Google ikora amaterefone kandi itezimbere ikoranabuhanga ryurubuga. Facebook iragerageza uruhare rwibikoresho byo kwishyura kandi yizera ko izasubiramo intsinzi ya WeChat yo mu Bushinwa. Bitandukanye na guverinoma, amasosiyete y'ikoranabuhanga azi neza ibikenewe ku isoko kandi atera imbere. Ubu buryo akenshi buzana inyungu kubashoramari.

Bitcoin nk'ahantu hizewe kubashoramari

Mu gihembwe cya mbere cya 2020, bitcoin yashoboye kubona iterambere ryiyongera ku $ 10000 no gusenyuka kugera ku $ 4000. Ibitangazamakuru byavuze ko umutungo ukurikiza imbaraga z'isoko ry'imigabane.

Ariko, uko ibintu byifashe mu bukungu bwisi, ibintu byifashe neza byagaragaje ikintu kidafitanye isano - kwifuza gutekana. Ibi birashobora kwemezwa no kugaruka kurwego rwa $ 7000, aho igiceri cyacuruzaga mu ntangiriro zumwaka.

Kandi ikindi kintu giteye ubwoba rwose nukuzamuka mubucuruzi bwubucuruzi bwa bitcoin muguhana. Buri munsi yanditseho ubucuruzi bugera kuri miliyari 30 z'amadolari, mu gihe muri Q4 yari hafi miliyari 20. Ni ukuvuga ko isoko ryiyongera.

Ntabwo dushaka kumenya niba igiciro cyacyo kiziyongera, ariko igorofa ihora ihinduka inzira. Inshingano yacu ni ugufata uruhande rwiburyo. Niba kandi tuzirikana ko ibiceri bitagenzurwa n’igihugu icyo ari cyo cyose, bitagengwa n’ifaranga kandi bigarukira mu byuka bihumanya ikirere, bifite amahirwe yose yo kuba ahantu hizewe h’abashoramari.

Ahantu hose ibibazo bigeze, ibuka - ibintu bivugwa muriyi ngingo nurufunguzo rwo gusobanukirwa ibibera. Amasoko azakira, ibintu bizasubira mubisanzwe mubumuntu, ariko kugeza icyo gihe tuzabona igiterane cyimigabane, inzira zikomeye zo gutotezwa, gusenyuka no guhomba. Ibi nibyo tuzaba duhura nabyo no gushaka amafaranga.

Iyandikishe Olymp Trade & Kubona Ubuntu $ 10,000Shaka $ 10,000 Ubuntu kubatangiye